Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 5 hours ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 13 June 2026 at 00:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 8th strongest of the 162 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 5 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued June 12 at 7:46PM EDT until June 12 at 8:15PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA
Urban PEI: 137,507 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 12 March 2026
- July 23, 2026 · score 43 · 9.6 km
- July 7, 2026 · score 22 · 12.1 km
- September 5, 2026 · score 16 · 13.1 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.80/1 |
| Coordinates | 38.2788, -76.6703 |
| Nearest City | Saint Charles (43 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 137.5K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Date | 2026-06-12 — time not reported by the source |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5eb5fc2abb7fe1035500c1dd084e4e81 |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-06-12 — time not reported.
First archived: 2026-06-12T23:46:51.379Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Lancaster, VA; Northumberland, VA; Charles, MD; Prince Georges, MD |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued June 12 at 7:46PM EDT until June 12 at 8:15PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA |
| Expires | 2026-06-12T20:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Wakefield VA |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5eb5fc2abb7fe1035500c1dd084e4e81f9a2fdb9.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f6ba9d853efbb7b439a8e4e7f733c3beffe33fc1.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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